Confirmation Bias Essay

Confirmation bias can entice perceptions is about not only what has already occurred but also our predictions of what yet occur. Confirmation bias can generate their own bridles, some of these perceptions and predictions (Myers, 2012, p. 72). The phenomenon of confirmation bias starts with overconfidence, which can originate in a lack of acquaintance regarding a topic or task. It I was to ask someone that is overconfident if they were good at some task or operation in which they no experience or expertise, they would answer with a resounding assertion that they would be good at any task they do. However, this overconfidence whitethorn only be born of an ignorance of what the task or operation sincerely requires to be performed successfully. Sometimes it is our memories that lead us astray into a infatuated confidence.Remembering times when we were almost right perhaps (Myers, 2012, p. 75). We can oftentimes remember what we want to remember rather than what actu eithery occu rred. We often discover what we wanted to hear. Sometimes we even tell ourselves there were reasons for some of our slight conscious actions. Intellectual deceit is a phenomenon that fortifies and cultivates the occurrence of confirmation bias. Myers (2012) states The mind conceit evident in judgments of past knowledge (I knew it all along) extends to estimates of current knowledge and predictions of future behavior. We know weve messed up in the past. But we have more positive expectations for our future performance in meeting deadlines, managing relationships, following an exercise routine, and so forth (p. 72).Another description by Myers (2012) is The construction of positive memories brightens our recollections (p. 77). I believe this tendency helps us not only to develop enough intellectual deceit to perish overconfident which leads to bias, but also this inherent psychosocial, psychological trait or habit causes us to recall our previous thoughts, intentions, and actions insuch a way that sheds favorable enough light on them for us to thusly perceive if not generate some sort of confirmation of our bias.